New Zealand Warriors v Dolphins
NRL · Saturday 12 September, 6:05 am
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Fair market
Dolphins $2.49
New Zealand Warriors $1.67
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Dolphins | New Zealand Warriors | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ladbrokes | $2.45-1.8% | $1.55-7.1% | 5.3% | +7.0% ⓘ | 70.0 |
| 2 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $2.54+1.8% | $1.63-2.4% | 0.6% | — | 64.5 |
| 3 | Dabble | $2.35-5.8% | $1.60-4.1% | 5.1% | +14.0% ⓘ | 60.9 |
| 4 | TABtouch | $2.40-3.8% | $1.57-5.9% | 5.3% | — | 57.3 |
| 5 | Sportsbet | $2.23-10.6% | $1.66-0.6% | 5.2% | +12.6% ⓘ | 50.9 |
| 6 | PlayUp | $2.35-5.8% | $1.60-4.1% | 5.1% | — | 38.2 |
| 7 | Neds | $2.45-1.8% | $1.55-7.1% | 5.3% | — | 36.4 |
| 8 | Unibet | $2.38-4.6% | $1.57-5.9% | 5.8% | — | 35.5 |
| 9 | Betr | $2.30-7.8% | $1.62-2.9% | 5.2% | — | 29.1 |
| 10 | TAB | $2.35-5.8% | $1.60-4.1% | 5.1% | — | 15.5 |
| 11 | Bet Right | $2.25-9.8% | $1.64-1.8% | 5.1% | — | 15.5 |
| 12 | PointsBet | $2.25-9.8% | $1.64-1.8% | 5.8% | — | 6.4 |
Scores computed 11 Sep 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 12 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →