Brisbane Lions v Adelaide Crows
AFL · Saturday 12 September, 9:35 am
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Fair market
Brisbane Lions $1.39
Adelaide Crows $3.57
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Brisbane Lions | Adelaide Crows | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.34-3.5% | $3.85+7.8% | 0.6% | — | 64.5 |
| 2 | TABtouch | $1.32-5.0% | $3.45-3.4% | 4.7% | — | 61.8 |
| 3 | TAB | $1.34-3.5% | $3.30-7.6% | 4.9% | +9.9% Members | 60.0 |
| 4 | Sportsbet | $1.34-3.5% | $3.30-7.6% | 4.9% | +9.9% Members | 57.3 |
| 5 | Ladbrokes | $1.33-4.2% | $3.35-6.2% | 5.0% | — | 55.5 |
| 6 | Betr | $1.31-5.7% | $3.50-2.0% | 4.9% | — | 40.0 |
| 7 | Unibet | $1.32-5.0% | $3.30-7.6% | 6.1% | — | 39.1 |
| 8 | Neds | $1.33-4.2% | $3.35-6.2% | 5.0% | — | 36.4 |
| 9 | PlayUp | $1.30-6.4% | $3.55-0.6% | 5.1% | — | 26.4 |
| 10 | PointsBet | $1.33-4.2% | $3.25-9.0% | 6.0% | — | 26.4 |
| 11 | Dabble | $1.32-5.0% | $3.35-6.2% | 5.6% | — | 14.5 |
| 12 | Bet Right | $1.34-3.5% | $3.25-9.0% | 5.4% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 12 Sep 10:20 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 12 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →