Arsenal v Chelsea
SOCCER_INTL · Sunday 6 September, 3:30 pm
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Fair market
Draw $4.05
Chelsea $5.15
Arsenal $1.79
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Draw | Chelsea | Arsenal | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportsbet | $3.80-6.2% | $5.00-2.9% | $1.70-5.0% | 5.1% | — | 81.8 |
| 2 | PointsBet | $4.00-1.3% | $5.25+2.0% | $1.67-6.7% | 3.9% | — | 80.9 |
| 3 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $4.00-1.3% | $5.30+3.0% | $1.76-1.6% | 0.7% | — | 73.6 |
| 4 | Bet Right | $3.90-3.7% | $4.60-10.6% | $1.70-5.0% | 6.2% | — | 54.5 |
| 5 | Ladbrokes | $3.90-3.7% | $4.80-6.7% | $1.67-6.7% | 6.4% | — | 47.3 |
| 6 | Unibet | $3.65-9.9% | $4.80-6.7% | $1.66-7.2% | 8.5% | — | 28.2 |
| 7 | PlayUp | $3.70-8.7% | $4.75-7.7% | $1.68-6.1% | 7.6% | — | 26.4 |
| 8 | Neds | $3.90-3.7% | $4.80-6.7% | $1.67-6.7% | 6.4% | — | 23.6 |
| 9 | TAB | $3.80-6.2% | $4.75-7.7% | $1.68-6.1% | 6.9% | — | 20.9 |
| 10 | Dabble | $3.75-7.4% | $4.75-7.7% | $1.70-5.0% | 6.5% | — | 20.0 |
| 11 | Betr | $3.90-3.7% | $4.70-8.7% | $1.70-5.0% | 5.7% | — | 13.6 |
| 12 | TABtouch | $3.65-9.9% | $4.75-7.7% | $1.65-7.8% | 9.1% | — | 9.1 |
Scores computed 4 Sep 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 12 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →