Spain v Cape Verde
WORLDCUP · Tuesday 16 June, 2:00 am
Fair market
Cape Verde $24.83
Spain $1.15
Draw $11.13
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Cape Verde | Spain | Draw | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $29.00+16.8% | $1.10-4.3% | $14.50+30.3% | 1.3% | — | 84.0 |
| 2 | PlayUp | $31.00+24.8% | $1.09-5.2% | $9.00-19.1% | 6.1% | — | 79.0 |
| 3 | PointsBet | $23.00-7.4% | $1.09-5.2% | $11.50+3.3% | 4.8% | — | 66.0 |
| 4 | Neds | $21.00-15.4% | $1.10-4.3% | $9.50-14.7% | 6.2% | +9.9% Members | 66.0 |
| 5 | Sportsbet | $23.00-7.4% | $1.08-6.1% | $13.00+16.8% | 4.6% | — | 50.0 |
| 6 | Unibet | $26.00+4.7% | $1.08-6.1% | $11.00-1.2% | 5.5% | — | 49.0 |
| 7 | Bet Right | $19.00-23.5% | $1.10-4.3% | $9.00-19.1% | 7.3% | — | 43.0 |
| 8 | TABtouch | $23.00-7.4% | $1.08-6.1% | $10.50-5.7% | 6.5% | — | 41.0 |
| 9 | Ladbrokes | $21.00-15.4% | $1.10-4.3% | $9.50-14.7% | 6.2% | — | 27.0 |
| 10 | TAB | $26.00+4.7% | $1.08-6.1% | $10.00-10.2% | 6.4% | — | 26.0 |
| 11 | Betr | $20.00-19.5% | $1.10-4.3% | $9.00-19.1% | 7.0% | — | 19.0 |
Scores computed 12 Jun 2:00 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 11 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →