Spain v Cape Verde
WORLDCUP · Tuesday 16 June, 2:00 am
Fair market
Cape Verde $25.56
Spain $1.15
Draw $11.02
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Cape Verde | Spain | Draw | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $32.00+25.2% | $1.10-4.3% | $14.00+27.0% | 1.2% | — | 96.0 |
| 2 | Unibet | $26.00+1.7% | $1.08-6.0% | $11.00-0.2% | 5.5% | — | 74.5 |
| 3 | Sportsbet | $26.00+1.7% | $1.07-6.9% | $12.00+8.9% | 5.6% | — | 71.0 |
| 4 | Neds | $21.00-17.9% | $1.10-4.3% | $9.50-13.8% | 6.2% | +9.9% Members | 53.0 |
| 5 | TAB | $26.00+1.7% | $1.08-6.0% | $10.00-9.3% | 6.4% | — | 51.0 |
| 6 | PointsBet | $23.00-10.0% | $1.09-5.2% | $11.50+4.3% | 4.8% | — | 49.5 |
| 7 | PlayUp | $31.00+21.3% | $1.09-5.2% | $9.00-18.3% | 6.1% | — | 35.0 |
| 8 | Betr | $21.00-17.9% | $1.10-4.3% | $9.00-18.3% | 6.8% | — | 31.0 |
| 9 | Ladbrokes | $21.00-17.9% | $1.10-4.3% | $9.50-13.8% | 6.2% | — | 31.0 |
| 10 | TABtouch | $23.00-10.0% | $1.08-6.0% | $10.50-4.7% | 6.5% | — | 28.0 |
| 11 | Bet Right | $19.00-25.7% | $1.10-4.3% | $9.00-18.3% | 7.3% | — | 20.0 |
Scores computed 12 Jun 6:00 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 11 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →