Adelaide Crows v Western Bulldogs
AFL · Saturday 5 September, 9:35 am
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Fair market
Western Bulldogs $3.21
Adelaide Crows $1.45
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Western Bulldogs | Adelaide Crows | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $3.25+1.3% | $1.43-1.6% | 0.7% | — | 84.5 |
| 2 | TAB | $3.10-3.3% | $1.38-5.0% | 4.7% | +10.5% ⓘ | 81.8 |
| 3 | PointsBet | $3.05-4.9% | $1.38-5.0% | 5.3% | — | 59.1 |
| 4 | Sportsbet | $3.02-5.8% | $1.39-4.3% | 5.1% | +15.4% ⓘ | 47.7 |
| 5 | TABtouch | $3.05-4.9% | $1.38-5.0% | 5.3% | — | 43.6 |
| 6 | Dabble | $3.10-3.3% | $1.37-5.7% | 5.3% | — | 36.8 |
| 7 | PlayUp | $3.05-4.9% | $1.38-5.0% | 5.3% | — | 34.5 |
| 8 | Neds | $3.05-4.9% | $1.38-5.0% | 5.3% | — | 30.9 |
| 9 | Ladbrokes | $3.05-4.9% | $1.38-5.0% | 5.3% | — | 24.5 |
| 10 | Unibet | $2.95-8.0% | $1.38-5.0% | 6.4% | — | 15.5 |
| 11 | Betr | $3.00-6.5% | $1.39-4.3% | 5.3% | — | 14.5 |
| 12 | Bet Right | $3.05-4.9% | $1.38-5.0% | 5.3% | — | 6.4 |
Scores computed 4 Sep 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 12 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →