New Zealand Warriors v Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
NRL · Saturday 5 September, 5:00 am
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Fair market
New Zealand Warriors $1.41
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles $3.45
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | New Zealand Warriors | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.36-3.4% | $3.60+4.3% | 1.3% | — | 76.0 |
| 2 | Ladbrokes | $1.33-5.5% | $3.35-2.9% | 5.0% | +9.9% Members | 60.5 |
| 3 | Neds | $1.33-5.5% | $3.35-2.9% | 5.0% | — | 51.5 |
| 4 | Sportsbet | $1.34-4.8% | $3.27-5.2% | 5.2% | +9.9% Members | 50.0 |
| 5 | TAB | $1.37-2.7% | $3.15-8.7% | 4.7% | — | 44.5 |
| 6 | TABtouch | $1.34-4.8% | $3.30-4.4% | 4.9% | — | 37.5 |
| 7 | PointsBet | $1.33-5.5% | $3.30-4.4% | 5.5% | — | 33.0 |
| 8 | Bet Right | $1.34-4.8% | $3.30-4.4% | 4.9% | — | 27.5 |
| 9 | Unibet | $1.34-4.8% | $3.20-7.2% | 5.9% | — | 24.5 |
| 10 | Betr | $1.35-4.1% | $3.20-7.2% | 5.3% | — | 18.5 |
| 11 | PlayUp | $1.36-3.4% | $3.15-8.7% | 5.3% | — | 16.5 |
Scores computed 4 Sep 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 11 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →