Sydney Swans v Brisbane Lions
AFL · Saturday 5 September, 5:15 am
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Fair market
Sydney Swans $3.83
Brisbane Lions $1.35
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Sydney Swans | Brisbane Lions | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $3.85+0.5% | $1.34-1.0% | 0.6% | — | 84.5 |
| 2 | Neds | $3.75-2.1% | $1.28-5.4% | 4.8% | — | 58.2 |
| 3 | TAB | $3.60-6.0% | $1.29-4.7% | 5.3% | +9.9% Members | 53.2 |
| 4 | Ladbrokes | $3.75-2.1% | $1.28-5.4% | 4.8% | — | 51.8 |
| 5 | Sportsbet | $3.56-7.1% | $1.30-3.9% | 5.0% | +9.9% Members | 49.1 |
| 6 | Dabble | $3.75-2.1% | $1.28-5.4% | 4.8% | — | 40.9 |
| 7 | TABtouch | $3.70-3.4% | $1.28-5.4% | 5.2% | — | 36.8 |
| 8 | Betr | $3.55-7.4% | $1.30-3.9% | 5.1% | — | 25.5 |
| 9 | PlayUp | $3.60-6.0% | $1.29-4.7% | 5.3% | — | 22.3 |
| 10 | Bet Right | $3.75-2.1% | $1.27-6.1% | 5.4% | — | 21.4 |
| 11 | PointsBet | $3.60-6.0% | $1.28-5.4% | 5.9% | — | 20.9 |
| 12 | Unibet | $3.50-8.7% | $1.28-5.4% | 6.7% | — | 15.5 |
Scores computed 4 Sep 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 12 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →