Portugal v DR Congo
WORLDCUP · Thursday 18 June, 3:00 am
Fair market
DR Congo $11.28
Portugal $1.36
Draw $5.71
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | DR Congo | Portugal | Draw | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $12.50+10.8% | $1.32-2.8% | $6.00+5.1% | 0.4% | — | 92.0 |
| 2 | PointsBet | $11.00-2.5% | $1.27-6.5% | $5.50-3.7% | 6.0% | — | 74.0 |
| 3 | Unibet | $11.00-2.5% | $1.28-5.8% | $5.60-1.9% | 5.1% | — | 67.0 |
| 4 | TABtouch | $10.50-6.9% | $1.27-6.5% | $5.40-5.4% | 6.8% | — | 53.0 |
| 5 | PlayUp | $11.00-2.5% | $1.28-5.8% | $4.85-15.1% | 7.8% | — | 49.0 |
| 6 | Neds | $9.25-18.0% | $1.28-5.8% | $5.60-1.9% | 6.8% | +9.9% Members | 48.5 |
| 7 | Sportsbet | $11.00-2.5% | $1.25-8.0% | $5.50-3.7% | 7.3% | — | 46.5 |
| 8 | Betr | $10.50-6.9% | $1.28-5.8% | $5.25-8.1% | 6.7% | — | 42.0 |
| 9 | Bet Right | $10.00-11.4% | $1.27-6.5% | $5.25-8.1% | 7.8% | — | 28.5 |
| 10 | TAB | $11.00-2.5% | $1.30-4.3% | $4.75-16.8% | 7.1% | — | 26.0 |
| 11 | Ladbrokes | $9.25-18.0% | $1.28-5.8% | $5.60-1.9% | 6.8% | — | 23.5 |
Scores computed 12 Jun 2:00 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 11 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →