Germany v Curaçao
WORLDCUP · Monday 15 June, 3:00 am
Fair market
Curaçao $37.78
Germany $1.09
Draw $16.76
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Curaçao | Germany | Draw | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $44.00+16.5% | $1.06-3.1% | $23.00+37.2% | 1.0% | — | 92.0 |
| 2 | Unibet | $36.00-4.7% | $1.03-5.9% | $17.00+1.4% | 5.7% | — | 70.0 |
| 3 | TAB | $41.00+8.5% | $1.03-5.9% | $17.00+1.4% | 5.4% | — | 59.0 |
| 4 | Neds | $26.00-31.2% | $1.05-4.0% | $13.00-22.4% | 6.8% | +8.4% ⓘ | 58.0 |
| 5 | Sportsbet | $41.00+8.5% | $1.04-5.0% | $18.00+7.4% | 4.1% | — | 57.0 |
| 6 | Betr | $31.00-17.9% | $1.04-5.0% | $13.00-22.4% | 7.1% | — | 49.0 |
| 7 | PointsBet | $46.00+21.8% | $1.04-5.0% | $18.00+7.4% | 3.9% | — | 44.0 |
| 8 | Bet Right | $31.00-17.9% | $1.04-5.0% | $12.00-28.4% | 7.7% | — | 38.0 |
| 9 | TABtouch | $36.00-4.7% | $1.03-5.9% | $16.00-4.5% | 6.1% | — | 27.0 |
| 10 | Ladbrokes | $26.00-31.2% | $1.05-4.0% | $13.00-22.4% | 6.8% | — | 24.0 |
| 11 | PlayUp | $51.00+35.0% | $1.02-6.8% | $17.00+1.4% | 5.9% | — | 22.0 |
Scores computed 12 Jun 6:00 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 11 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →