Mexico v South Africa
WORLDCUP · Friday 12 June, 5:00 am
Fair market
Mexico $1.48
South Africa $8.86
Draw $4.70
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Mexico | South Africa | Draw | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Value hunter | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.15-22.4% | $46.00+419.1% | $8.60+82.8% | 0.7% | — | 98.0 |
| 2 | Unibet | $1.11-25.1% | $29.00+227.3% | $8.00+70.1% | 5.4% | — | 77.0 |
| 3 | PointsBet | $1.11-25.1% | $29.00+227.3% | $7.00+48.8% | 6.2% | — | 64.5 |
| 4 | Sportsbet | $1.36-8.3% | $8.50-4.1% | $4.50-4.3% | 7.5% | — | 64.0 |
| 5 | TAB | $1.12-24.5% | $34.00+283.7% | $7.50+59.4% | 6.7% | — | 60.0 |
| 6 | Neds | $1.40-5.6% | $7.75-12.5% | $4.50-4.3% | 6.6% | +8.4% ⓘ | 45.5 |
| 7 | Betr | $1.40-5.6% | $8.50-4.1% | $4.20-10.7% | 7.0% | — | 41.0 |
| 8 | Bet Right | $1.39-6.2% | $8.50-4.1% | $4.20-10.7% | 7.5% | — | 39.0 |
| 9 | Ladbrokes | $1.40-5.6% | $7.75-12.5% | $4.50-4.3% | 6.6% | — | 33.0 |
| 10 | PlayUp | $1.38-6.9% | $8.00-9.7% | $4.40-6.5% | 7.7% | — | 21.0 |
| 11 | TABtouch | $1.10-25.8% | $26.00+193.4% | $7.50+59.4% | 7.7% | — | 7.0 |
Scores computed 12 Jun 2:00 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 11 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Value hunter preset weights: price edge 60%, promo value 5%, market margin 20%, market depth 5%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →