Melbourne Demons v Essendon Bombers
AFL · Saturday 13 June, 1:15 pm
Fair market
Essendon Bombers $5.11
Melbourne Demons $1.24
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Essendon Bombers | Melbourne Demons | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $5.40+5.6% | $1.22-1.9% | 0.5% | — | 92.0 |
| 2 | Sportsbet | $4.95-3.2% | $1.18-5.1% | 4.9% | +9.9% Members | 77.0 |
| 3 | TAB | $5.00-2.2% | $1.17-5.9% | 5.5% | +9.9% Members | 67.9 |
| 4 | PlayUp | $4.85-5.1% | $1.18-5.1% | 5.4% | — | 60.5 |
| 5 | Betr | $5.00-2.2% | $1.17-5.9% | 5.5% | — | 60.0 |
| 6 | Bet Right | $4.90-4.2% | $1.18-5.1% | 5.2% | — | 55.0 |
| 7 | Neds | $4.80-6.1% | $1.18-5.1% | 5.6% | — | 49.5 |
| 8 | TABtouch | $4.70-8.1% | $1.19-4.3% | 5.3% | — | 39.5 |
| 9 | Ladbrokes | $4.80-6.1% | $1.18-5.1% | 5.6% | — | 24.5 |
| 10 | PointsBet | $4.75-7.1% | $1.17-5.9% | 6.5% | — | 20.0 |
| 11 | Unibet | $4.40-13.9% | $1.19-4.3% | 6.8% | — | 4.0 |
Scores computed 12 Jun 6:00 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 11 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →