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Newcastle Knights v St George Illawarra Dragons

NRL · Friday 19 June, 8:00 pm

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Fair market Newcastle Knights $1.38 St George Illawarra Dragons $3.65 de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
Balanced Value hunter Recreational
Bookie Newcastle KnightsSt George Illawarra Dragons MarginPromo EVScore · Balanced
1 Ladbrokes $1.30-5.6% $3.50-4.1% 5.5% +7.0% 83.7
2 Sportsbet $1.31-4.9% $3.44-5.7% 5.4% +12.6% 65.0
3 Neds $1.30-5.6% $3.50-4.1% 5.5% 43.7
4 PointsBet $1.30-5.6% $3.40-6.8% 6.3% 37.5
5 TAB $1.30-5.6% $3.40-6.8% 6.3% 20.0

Scores computed 13 Jun 10:00 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market

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How this ranking works

Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 5 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →