Melbourne v Essendon
AFL · Saturday 13 June, 1:15 pm · M.C.G. · Round 14
Fair market
Melbourne $1.24
Essendon $5.20
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Melbourne | Essendon | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Value hunter | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PointsBet | $1.14-7.9% | $5.51+5.9% | 5.9% | — | 69.4 |
| 2 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.24+0.2% | $4.93-5.3% | 0.9% | — | 63.1 |
| 3 | Dabble | $1.15-7.1% | $5.39+3.6% | 5.5% | — | 56.3 |
| 4 | Sportsbet | $1.14-7.9% | $5.33+2.4% | 6.5% | +15.4% ⓘ | 51.3 |
| 5 | TopSport | $1.21-2.3% | $4.63-11.0% | 4.2% | — | 35.6 |
| 6 | Neds | $1.16-6.3% | $5.00-3.9% | 6.2% | — | 31.9 |
| 7 | TAB | $1.15-7.1% | $4.95-4.9% | 7.2% | +10.5% ⓘ | 28.8 |
| 8 | BlueBet | $1.19-3.9% | $4.71-9.5% | 5.3% | — | 13.8 |
| 9 | Ladbrokes | $1.18-4.7% | $4.70-9.7% | 6.0% | — | 10.0 |
Scores computed 12 Jun 6:00 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 9 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Value hunter preset weights: price edge 60%, promo value 5%, market margin 20%, market depth 5%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →